Thursday, May 14, 2009

Can Tom "durrrr" Dwan go Broke?

Seems Tom is down something like 7 million dollars and he has been playing lower stakes lately.  When I originally wrote this article it was almost inconceivable that Tom could go busto and indeed that seems to be what has happened.  He will be able to borrow and stay in action and his recent deal with Full Tilt Poker will help a bit but this one is going to sting.  As lofty of a perch as Tom Dwan was on at one point it is going to be very difficult for him to get back to those heights.

Update November 16th

Tom has once again gone on a big downswing and looks like Isildur is besting him quite hard.  By some accounts Tom could be bust quite soon, here is a thread from our forums with some chat about the recent matches and some rumors and such.

Update May 15th.  If you have been following our biggest daily hands and a few articles you have to be wondering if Tom Dwan is on the verge of going busto.  The last few weeks have seen multi-million dollar swings for Tom.  Tom does seem to have a bad habit of not quitting when he is down and his tilty sessions are epic.  Tom is likely the most comfortable high stakes player playing a fast and loose style.  The only problem with that is it works real well when your judgement is clear and lately it does not seem his has been.  

Two emerging styles on defeating Durrrr

First let me just say that no high limit player sticks to one style you will get killed like that. But there are three emerging styles. The Full Flush style - This style basically is to just let Tom steal your blinds and run you over since he will pay you off big when you have it. Since he bluffs a lot feigning weakness is a good thing. The Ziigmund style - in this style you play Tom straight up in the beginning and you gamble big once you are up. In Pot Limit Omaha no hand is ever really that big of a dog to any other hand. So when Tom gets down Ziggy gambles with the money he has already won. Here is a session between Tom and Ilari (Ziigmund) as evidence. The Gus Hansen style is almost the exact opposite of Ziigmund's, Gus plays short and buys $50,000 bullets. Because of Tom also buys short, so their pots are really never that extreme. In addition to Ilari's big win Gus also had a million dollar win later in the week. If you ask people that know Tom well he has a big nest egg to draw from and his style is unique but he certainly would not be the first to run it up big and lose. People are catching up to Tom and time will tell whether or not he can stay in action. Without him the high stakes landscape would be dramatically different. All of that said Tom does have a persistence that allows himself to dig out of huge holes.  He is always on the top of our biggest daily hands list and I suspect that will not change for a while.

Tags: Busto   Articles   Durrrr   broke   Tom   Dwan   gus   hansen  

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